What are the mainstream voices questioning the Metaverse?

The Metaverse has frequently become the focus recently. Many big companies have entered the game one after another, hoping to be the first to eat crabs. Meta announced that it will transform into Metaverse in the future, while Nvidia hopes to become Metaverse’s infrastructure supplier. Many large domestic companies also have different levels of layout. These companies are very optimistic about Metaverse. So who are those who oppose or question Metaverse?

Putin: Information security and other issues have become obstacles

On November 12, 2021, the 2021 AI Journey International Conference will be held in Moscow. Russian President Putin also participated in the meeting. At the meeting, Putin believed that the Metaverse should be used to break through the limits of distance and help communication and learning, rather than being used to escape reality. He said that the concept of Metaverse was put forward by a famous science fiction writer 30 years ago. At that time, he imagined that people had escaped from imperfect or unsuccessful real world to Metaverse. He believes that the existence of the Metaverse would be pessimistic for people, and that humans do not need to take this path.

In addition, he also believes that humans should use the metaverse to communicate, work, learn, and implement joint innovation projects and commercial projects. This is a real challenge for technology companies, creative industries, manufacturers of virtual reality and mixed reality equipment, and even legal scholars who must formulate the economic and social relations norms of this new virtual reality world.

If Metaverse is really built, then Metaverse will involve not only ensuring the safety of individuals in cyberspace, but also the safety of individual users’ virtual avatars in Metaverse, which will cause privacy and information security issues. These are all obstacles that the metaverse needs to solve. The Internet alone has generated many privacy information security issues, so Metaverse is bound to have more related issues.

Liu Cixin: Worried that many people will stand still in the virtual world

Liu Cixin, the author of “Three-Body”, once expressed his evaluation of Metaverse in a public speech: Metaverse will lead mankind to a dead end.

In his opinion, the Metaverse is a kind of “spiritual opium” that is extremely tempting and highly hallucinogenic. He expressed concern: Many people will be complacent because of this immersion in the virtual world.

His radical evaluation lies in his advocating for human beings to explore the real-world universe. He believes that the future of mankind is either to move towards interstellar civilization or to indulge in the virtual world of VR/AR all the year round. If mankind realizes a highly realistic VR world before moving on to space civilization, it will be a disaster.

Musk: Metaverse like marketing term

On December 20, 2021, Musk, the world’s richest man, said on Twitter that Metaverse now looks more like a popular marketing term than reality. Many people in the market today think that Metaverse is a huge investment blue ocean, but Musk does not think so. Before that, Musk even asked about Internet 3.0, thinking that Internet 3.0 was useless.

Although he poured cold water on the Metaverse today, Musk also said: “But you can imagine what the future will look like in 10, 20, or 30 years. The future in 2051 will seem crazy!”

What are the mainstream voices questioning the Metaverse?

Musk Twitter

Judging from the speeches of Liu Cixin and Musk, it seems that people who are concerned about exploring the universe, stars and oceans have an unfriendly attitude towards the Metaverse. In addition to the fact that those who support the exploration of the universe do not support the Metaverse, another famous American scientist (Louis Rosenberg) in the field of augmented reality expressed concern.

Louis Rosenberg: Metaverse tagging users aggravate social divisions

Louis Rosenberg is a scientist in the fields of artificial intelligence, augmented reality, and human-computer interaction.Louis Rosenberg received his bachelor’s and master’s degree from Stanford University. In the early 1990s, while working as a graduate researcher at the US Air Force Research Laboratory, Rosenberg created the “Virtual Fixtures” platform, the first interactive augmented reality system designed to enable users to superimpose virtual objects into real physical workspaces superior.

He once founded Unanimous AI to develop a new form of artificial intelligence based on the biological principles of swarm intelligence to amplify the intelligence of human swarms. In the end, the company developed Swarm AI, an award-winning technology that amplifies swarm intelligence. This technology has been verified by dozens of academic papers and more than 20 U.S. patents, and is currently being used by many companies around the world. From Fortune 500 companies to small companies and even the United Nations.

Rosenberg also established Immersion Corporation to research virtual reality technology. Immersion Corporation listed the company in 1999 (NASDAQ: IMMR). Rosenberg also founded Outland Research, a developer of advanced interfaces for mobile devices and augmented reality (acquired in 2012). Rosenberg has obtained more than 300 patents worldwide.

Louis Rosenberg published a comment on the Venture Beat website on December 4, 2021, titled “The metaverse needs aggressive regulation”, which warned that the metaverse may change the structure of reality as we know it.

Louis Rosenberg’s main concerns are privacy issues, creating disagreements and mental disabilities. First of all, Metaverse may allow certain commercial users to see specific tags. For example, some tags may float on each user’s head and provide information about them (advertisers can use this to determine whether it is worthwhile to place ads) . He worries that such labels will cause the public to reject certain groups and ideologies, and even cause hatred and distrust among people, and aggravate social divisions.

He also expressed concern that people are spending more and more time in the virtual world. Nowadays, many companies believe that when Metaverse develops to a certain extent, it can affect all aspects of our lives. In the end, it is almost impossible for most people to leave and rely heavily on Metaverse. Similar to today’s mobile phone heads, as long as the Metaverse-related technologies become more mature in the future, people will spend more and more time in the virtual world, and then parts of people’s lives will gradually be covered by virtual reality.

Bloomberg: Metaverse still has many problems to be solved

Facebook officially announced that it changed its name to Meta in November 2021 and announced that it will “All In” Metaverse in the future. This move brought unprecedented attention to Metaverse. In fact, Meta’s name change was interpreted by the outside world as rebranding, diverting attention from its scandal, and so on. In addition, some organizations have also listed some practical problems for Meta’s Metaverse future. Most of the problems encountered by Meta are common problems that enterprises that lay out Metaverse will inevitably encounter.

The first is content review. Bloomberg’s editor Parmy Olson said that now Meta cannot do a good job of censoring Internet content (especially fake news). In the future, Metaverse will really be built. How should Meta conduct effective censorship? If Meta cannot solve the related problems, then Metaverse will only become the next hotbed of fake news and fake news.

Bloomberg also expressed concern about data privacy issues in Metaverse. Both VR and AR in the Metaverse will leave a record on the platform. However, when people use the Metaverse to plan bad things, new problems will arise. For example, if someone discusses crimes in the metaverse, should the metaverse supervise this? In addition, whether the data can be recorded as evidence in court is subject to discussion.

In addition, the issue of anonymity in the Metaverse is equally important. Bloomberg believes that in the future, it is unlikely that people will enter the Metaverse as easily as people enter the Facebook app. People only need to pass a simple identity verification on Facebook to browse the web. However, in the later period, due to the excessively slack identity authentication, Facebook has a lot of problems, such as the complexity of advertising positioning and the difficulty of monitoring various malicious activities. Bloomberg believes that Metaverse needs strict identity checks so that Metaverse can conduct more effective supervision.

The Business Times: The world is not ready for the Metaverse

The Business Times is a financial newspaper in Singapore. It was published in 1976, mainly for financial professionals. The Business Times published an article on December 1, 2021, arguing that the current Metaverse is still a bubble. The Business Times believes that the Metaverse needs to have three characteristics:

1. Able to operate continuously and accommodate a large number of people

2. Rich content

3. Immersive entertainment with a very good experience

First, it must be large enough and run continuously. It must be able to accommodate a large number of people, socializing and interacting in a virtual space. No matter how realistic the virtual world is, as long as its capacity is limited to a small number or its operation cannot be as smooth as it should be, there can be no breadth or depth of social networking, and it can also run in parallel with the real world.

Secondly, the Metaverse must have rich content in order to become a substitute for the real world. It does not have to be the same as the real world, but the reality must be rich enough so that people can interact with other people and the environment for a long time, so that most of the time, users will have more fresh discoveries when they use it. In this way, users will choose to stay in the Metaverse rather than in the real world.

Finally, Metaverse needs to provide powerful immersive entertainment, which must be so interesting that people can devote themselves to it. Only when it is a sufficiently interesting experience, users will be willing to pay the cost of supporting the operation of the Metaverse.

The Business Times believes that the structure of Metaverse cannot be completed by a single company. In addition, Metaverse needs to be open to users and allow users to participate in the construction and expansion of the ecology, so that Metaverse will be interesting enough to attract people to spend time.

There are now a few examples for reference, such as World of Warcraft and Roblox. In World of Warcraft, users can only interact in the settings provided by the platform; in Roblox, users can create their own materials in the virtual world and then interact with other players. Roblox has the potential to develop into a Metaverse, while World of Warcraft does not.

According to the above premise, today’s technology still cannot build a Metaverse because it cannot provide a good experience and produce enough and interesting content to attract users. The Metaverse is still largely in a bubble.

Three Body Capital: Metaverse is still in the bubble stage

Three Body Capital Management LLP is a financial company registered in the United Kingdom. It mainly provides financial, investment, tax, legal, regulatory or other advisory services.

Three Body Capital published an article “The bubbling of the metaverse” on December 1, 2021. He believes that the current Metaverse is still in the early stage of the bubble.

The first is that the Fed’s water release policy has caused too much money in the market and needs a place to go. The appearance of the Metaverse has given these money a “good place”. People’s sentiment towards the Metaverse is rising.The market is enthusiastically promoting the concepts related to the Metaverse, making the market gradually irrational about the Metaverse. Bubbles will blind people’s eyes and make people have no doubts about the Metaverse. Everyone wants to get a share of the pie, which further pushes up the crazy mood of the Metaverse.

They believe that, for example, Nvidia is launching Metaverse-related tools and even “painting pie” for investors. This is a good start, but there is still a lot of work to be done.

Three Body Capital believes that creators and designers all over the world are eager to learn more about these new toolkits and business models related to the Metaverse, because it can give people unlimited possibilities, but the construction of every new concept takes time: experimentation, failure , Improvement and iteration.

Posted by:CoinYuppie,Reprinted with attribution to:https://coinyuppie.com/what-are-the-mainstream-voices-questioning-the-metaverse/
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