80.8% chance the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points in March

On February 5th, after the non-agricultural announcement, according to CME’s “Federal Reserve Watch”: the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in the range of 0%-0.25% in March is 0%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 80.8%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50%. The probability of one basis point is 19.2%; the probability of maintaining interest rates in the range of 0%-0.25% in May is 0%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 7.4%, the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 75.2%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 75% The probability of a basis point is 17.4%. (Golden Ten)

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